文章基本信息

标题：Adoption and Diffusion of Biotechnology: rbST in California
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作者：Butler, Leslie J. ; Henriques, Irene
期刊名称：Journal of Agribusiness
印刷版ISSN：0738-8950
出版年度：2001
出版社：Journal of Agribusiness
摘要：The problem of projecting future use patterns of agricultural biotechnology products in order to evaluate their potential for development and commercialization is a challenging proposition for economists. While many have attempted ex ante methods of projecting adoption and diffusion rates, very few have tested their ex ante results after the fact. In this paper, we use the results of a continuous survey of California dairy producers ex post to test the predictions of an ex ante study of adoption of recombinant bovine Somatotropin (rbST) carried out using data 4-7 years prior to the availability of the new technology.