文章基本信息

标题：MODELING YIELD DISTRIBUTION IN HIGH RISK COUNTIES: APPLICATION TO TEXAS UPLAND COTTON
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作者：Chen, Shu-Ling ; Miranda, Mario J.
期刊名称：Journal of Agribusiness
印刷版ISSN：0738-8950
出版年度：2006
期号：suppl
出版社：Journal of Agribusiness
摘要：Very little attention has been given to the modeling of yield distribution for crops and regions in which yields exhibit irregular behavior. We undertake a statistical case study of Texas upland cotton and propose an alternative mixture distribution based on regime-switching model in which the conditional distribution of yield depends upon an observable drought index. The results show that the mixture distribution model provides a better fit to the data than conventional parametric distributions and produces higher implied premium rates than the current published Group Risk Plan insurance rates in more than two-thirds of Texas counties examined.