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标题：THE UNCERTAIN FUTURE OF THE MEXICAN MARKET FOR U.S. COTTON: IMPACT OF THE ELIMINATION OF TEXTILE AND CLOTHING QUOTAS
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作者：Lopez, Jose Enrique ; Malaga, Jaime E.
期刊名称：Journal of Agribusiness
印刷版ISSN：0738-8950
出版年度：2004
页码：7-11
出版社：Journal of Agribusiness
摘要：Accounting for about 20% of U.S. total cotton exports in recent years, the Mexican market has become a key destination for U.S. cotton production. Simultaneously, the U.S. market is critical for the Mexican textile/clothing sector absorbing almost 50% of its total output. This strong North American integration process, in part a result of NAFTA, might be jeopardized by the approaching implementation of the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC) in 2005. This paper presents the results of an econometric and simulation model that allows for the assessment of potential implications of the ATCs quota elimination on Mexicos cotton consumption and U.S. cotton exports to Mexico. It incorporates the growing interdependence between the U.S. and Mexicos cotton and textile industries and summarizes some plausible scenarios for the impact of the 2005 textile and clothing final quota elimination on U.S. markets.