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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Defining a quality index for electric power utilities using multiple criteria decision support and time series analysis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Passos, Aderson Campos ; Souza, Reinaldo Castro
  • 期刊名称:Gestão & Produção
  • 印刷版ISSN:0104-530X
  • 电子版ISSN:1806-9649
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:20
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1-12
  • DOI:10.1590/S0104-530X2013000100001
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Universidade Federal de São Carlos
  • 摘要:

    This paper presents a hybrid multi-criteria method developed through the combination of the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and exponential smoothing techniques applied in time series forecasting. To illustrate its use, a model was developed with the aim of creating a quality index for electric power distribution utilities. The conclusions highlight the need to take into account the results obtained in the latest months for those utilities, but giving less attention to those obtained in the earlier months. This characteristic of the problem led to the idea of incorporating the mathematical formulation of the exponential smoothing into the aggregation function of the AHP. At the end, the utility company is given a score between 0 (zero) and 10 (ten).

  • 关键词:Método multicritério híbrido;AHP;Amortecimento exponencial;Índice de qualidade;Distribuidoras de energia elétrica;Redução da interdependência entre critérios
  • 其他关键词:Hybrid multi-criteria method;AHP;Exponential smoothing;Quality index;Electric power distribution utilities;Reduction of interdependence between criteria
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