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文章基本信息

  • 标题:A note on inflation targeting and economic growth in Brazil
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Libânio, Gilberto
  • 期刊名称:Revista de Economia Política
  • 印刷版ISSN:0101-3157
  • 电子版ISSN:1809-4538
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:30
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:73-88
  • DOI:10.1590/S0101-31572010000100005
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Centro de Economia Política
  • 摘要:

    This paper analyzes the relation between monetary policy and economic performance in Brazil during the period 1999-2006. In particular, it discusses the growth effects of the inflation targeting regime through its effects on aggregate demand. It is argued that monetary policy under IT reacts in a procyclical and asymmetric way to fluctuations in economic activity (too "tight" during recessions, not so "loose" during expansions). Such pattern may generate a downward bias in aggregate demand, with negative real effects on output growth and employment. Our results suggest that monetary policy has been procyclical and asymmetrical in Brazil under inflation targeting. The main economic policy implication of this study is that central banks should consider more seriously the real effects of monetary policy on output and employment.

  • 其他关键词:Monetary policy;inflation targeting;aggregate demand
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