文章基本信息

标题：Inducing Low-Carbon Investment in the Electric Power Industry through a Price Floor for Emissions Trading
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作者：Brauneis, Alexander ; Loretz, Michael ; Roland, Mestel 等
期刊名称：Journal of Agribusiness
印刷版ISSN：0738-8950
出版年度：2011
出版社：Journal of Agribusiness
摘要：Uncertainty about long-term climate policy is a major driving force in the evolution of the carbon market price. Since this price enters the investment decision process of regulated firms, this uncertainty increases the cost of capital for investors and might deter invest-ments into new technologies at the company level. We apply a real options-based approach to assess the impact of climate change policy in the form of a constant or growing price floor on investment decisions of a single firm in a competitive environment. This firm has the opportunity to switch from a high-carbon “dirty” technology to a low-carbon “clean” technology. Using Monte Carlo simulation and dynamic programming techniques for real market data, we determine the optimal CO2 price floor level and growth rate in order to induce investments into the low-carbon technology. We show these findings to be robust to a large variety of input parameter settings.
关键词：Carbon price;price floor;technological change;investment decision;real option approach