文章基本信息

标题：Modelling the management of multiple-use reservoirs: Deterministic or stochastic dynamic programming?
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作者：Tran, Lap Doc ; Schilizzi, Steven ; Chalak, Morteza 等
期刊名称：Journal of Agribusiness
印刷版ISSN：0738-8950
出版年度：2012
出版社：Journal of Agribusiness
摘要：Modelling complex systems such as multiple-use reservoirs can be challenging. A legitimate question for scientists and modellers is how best to model their management under uncertain rainfall. This paper studies whether it is worth using a stochastic model that requires more effort than a much simpler deterministic model. Both models are applied to the management of a multiple-use reservoir in southern Vietnam. Although no single modelling approach is universally superior, this study indicates that the desirable modelling approach is stochastic if reservoir capacity and water use demands have a high enough impact on the optimal timing of reservoir water use.
关键词：deterministic dynamic proramming;stochastic dynamic programming;water management;irrigation;fisheries;multiple-use reservoir