文章基本信息

标题：A Time Series Analysis of Export, lmport and Economic Growth Relations in Turkey
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作者：Mustafa ÖZER ; Levent ERDOÐAN
期刊名称：Ekonomik Yaklasim
印刷版ISSN：1300-1868
出版年度：2006
卷号：17
期号：60
页码：93-110
DOI：10.5455/ey.10619
语种：Turkish
出版社：International Medical Journal Management and Indexing System
摘要：In this paper, not only the nature but also the strength of the causal relationshýip among real exports, imports, and economic growth in Turkey over the period of 1987-2006 is investigated. Particularly the role of import variable in the investigating of economic growth-export causality is emphasized. The Granger causality tests results confirm that there is unidirectional causality between variables considered, mainly running from export to economic growth and import and import to economic growth. Moreover, IRFs and VDCs support this result therefore allows to conclude that export led growth hypothesis is supported by the Turkish data over the period.
关键词：Export-led Growth; Economic Growth; lmport; Granger Causality; VAR Analysis