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  • 标题:[email protected]
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Menapace, Luisa ; Colson, Greg ; Raffaell, Roberta
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Agribusiness
  • 印刷版ISSN:0738-8950
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 出版社:Journal of Agribusiness
  • 摘要:Using the exchangeability method, we quantitatively elicit Italian farmers' short- and long-run risk perceptions concerning key crop loss hazards whose relevance depends upon climate developments: hail, powdery mildew for winegrowers and apple dieback for apple farmers. We show that long-run perceptions are significantly higher than short-run perceptions and identify climate change beliefs and experience with crop damages as critical factors in explaining this difference. From a policy prospective, our results suggest that an effective outreach service would benefit from offering farmers first-hand on-farm experience with crop risk and a “segmented” approach that takes into consideration farmers’ climate change beliefs.
  • 关键词:Climate change;Exchangeability Method;Subjective risk perceptions
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