文章基本信息

标题：[email protected]
本地全文：下载
作者：Menapace, Luisa ; Colson, Greg ; Raffaell, Roberta 等
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2014
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：Using the exchangeability method, we quantitatively elicit Italian farmers' short- and long-run risk perceptions concerning key crop loss hazards whose relevance depends upon climate developments: hail, powdery mildew for winegrowers and apple dieback for apple farmers. We show that long-run perceptions are significantly higher than short-run perceptions and identify climate change beliefs and experience with crop damages as critical factors in explaining this difference. From a policy prospective, our results suggest that an effective outreach service would benefit from offering farmers first-hand on-farm experience with crop risk and a “segmented” approach that takes into consideration farmers’ climate change beliefs.
关键词：Climate change;Exchangeability Method;Subjective risk perceptions