文章基本信息

标题：Going Electric: Expert Survey on the Future of Battery Technologies for Electric Vehicles
本地全文：下载
作者：Catenacci, Michela ; Verdolini, Elena ; Bosetti, Valentina 等
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2012
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：The paper describes the results of a survey, carried out with leading EU experts, on the capacity of both fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles to reach commercial success in the next twenty years. The success of electric transport is hampered by a combination of low range, scarce efficiency and high costs of batteries. Costs are expected to decrease in response to increasing sales volume and technical improvements, and advances would result from adequate investments in research, development and demonstration (RD&D). Experts’ judgements are collected to shed light on the inherently uncertain relationship between RD&D efforts and consequent technical progress, and to assess the complex dynamics that will hinder or support the widespread diffusion of electric vehicles. The analysis of the experts’ data results in a number of important policy recommendations to guide future RD&D choices and target commitments both for the EU and its member states.
关键词：Expert Elicitation;Battery Technologies;Electric Vehicles