期刊名称:Australasian Accounting, Business and Finance Journal
印刷版ISSN:1834-2000
电子版ISSN:1834-2019
出版年度:2011
卷号:5
期号:1
页码:57-75
出版社:University of Wollongong
摘要:This paper compares credit models that incorporate a market component to those that are solely customer based. We found that customer-only models understated credit risk during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and do not adequately differentiate between industries. Models that focus too heavily on the market can overstate credit risk in times of high volatility. We recommend a two-factor modelling approach that incorporates both customer and market risk to improve the accuracy of credit-risk measurement as well as assist lenders with early risk detection.
关键词:Banks; Customers; Conditional probability of default; Conditional value at risk; Credit risk; Markets; Probability of default; Value at risk