文章基本信息

标题：The impacts of climate change on Australia and New Zealand: a Gross Cell Product analysis by land cover
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作者：Seo, S. Niggol
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2011
卷号：SUPPL
页码：220-238
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：This paper examines the newly constructed geographically scaled economic output measure, Gross Cell Product (GCP), of Australia and New Zealand to quantify the impacts of climate change in the region. The paper discusses advantages of using the GCP instead of the Gross Domestic Product. The paper reveals that the GCP falls sharply as temperature increases in the region. A 1 degree Celsius increase in temperature would decrease the productivity with an elasticity of )2.4. A 1 per cent decrease in precipitation would decrease productivity with an elasticity of )2.3. However, forest vegetation on the coasts will benefit from initial warming. We find that the changes in climate means are potentially more harmful than changes in climate variability. In the long term, a 3.4 warming coupled with 6.6 mm decrease in rainfall would decrease the GCP by 34 per cent by 2060. The damage is largely accounted for by population effects. The paper confirms that Australia is highly constrained by climate and geographic factors.
关键词：climate change;G-ECON;Gross Cell Product;Oceania