文章基本信息

标题：Uncertainty Discounting for Land-Based Carbon Sequestration
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作者：Kim, Man-Keun ; McCarl, Bruce A.
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2009
卷号：40
期号：4
页码：1-11
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：The effect of stochastic factors on soil carbon makes the quantity of carbon generated under a sequestration project uncertain. Hence, the quantity of sequestered carbon may need to be discounted to avoid liability from shortfalls. We present a potentially applicable uncertainty discount and discuss difficulties that might arise in empirical use. We insist that the variance in historical crop yields across geographical areas is used to derive a proxy variance for forming an uncertainty discount for carbon projects. Application of our approach suggests that project level uncertainty discounts would be 15–20% for the East Texas region.
关键词：carbon sequestration;discount;uncertainty