文章基本信息

标题：Application of decision support methods in preparation for a Hungarian bio-fuel programme
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作者：Lakner, Zoltan ; Vizvari, Bela
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2008
卷号：39
期号：SUPPL
页码：17-31
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：Under current market circumstances and those predictable in the near future, further increasing agricultural production seems to be rather groundless. By utilising agro-ecological conditions more efficiently, one eighth of Hungary’s gasoline demand could be satisfied from maize production, without considerably decreasing current agricultural production for human and animal consumption. For realisation of biofuel programmes a relatively stable socio-economic environment is essential. There is considerable pressure on government from different stakeholders to shift the risks of large-scale investments to the state budget. In the long-run, under the conditions of a liberalised world market the feasibility of biofuel-programmes based on European raw materials, are highly questionable. To build up “shock-resistant” projects, well-founded, simulation-based risk analysis is essential.
关键词：agro-ecological potential;land usage;linear programming;deterministic modelling;multi-issue actor analysis