文章基本信息

标题：An Economic Analysis of Mountain Pine Beetle Impact in a Global Context
本地全文：下载
作者：Abbott, Brant ; Stennes, Brad ; van Kooten, G. Cornelis 等
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2008
卷号：39
期号：1
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：The economic effects of the mountain pine beetle outbreak in British Columbia are simulated using a multi-region spatial price equilibrium model coupled with a stochastic dynamic updating procedure. The simulation captures expected changes in the B.C. timber supply, growth of plantation forests in the southern hemisphere and an escalating Russian log export tax. The results indicate lumber and log prices will rise in B.C., offsetting some of the economic loss to timber producers. However, on net producers in the B.C. forest industry will experience a decrease in economic surplus.
关键词：mountain pine beetle;spatial price equilibrium;trade modeling