文章基本信息

标题：Análise de risco do desempenho econômico de um sistema de recria de gado de corte em regime de pastejo rotacionado
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作者：Simoes, Andre Rozemberg Peixoto ; Moura, Altair Dias de
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2006
卷号：37
期号：SUPPL
页码：75-97
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：The success of the agricultural systems is affected by several social, cultural and economical variables, which can restrict or nurture the development of the agribusiness. In this context, agricultural managers search for ways to improve production efficiency. This effort comprises the improvement of the managerial activities and decision making process. This research aimed to build a risk analysis framework, using different scenarios of economical analysis of an animal husbandry firm. The data used was collected from a rotational grazing system for beef cattle. The results suggest that the profitability of the system is low, and some of the risk scenarios presented negative profitability.
关键词：Economical analysis;Beef cattle;Scenarios;Monte Carlo simulation;Risk analysis