文章基本信息

标题：Modelling of the Slovak Agricultural Markets - AG-MEMOD Approach
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作者：Bartova, Lubica
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2005
期号：SUPPL
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：Slovak sectoral partial equilibrium econometric model based on AG-MEMOD approach is used to analyse the development of the selected Slovak agricultural markets after EU accession. Simulation results for cereals and meats are provided in this poster. Two scenarios are analysed: non-accession baseline and accession with adoption of single area payment scheme. EU accession is expected to increase prices of most products, the biggest increase of prices will occur in animal sector. Because of higher prices consumption will go down. Decrease of consumption will be mitigated by income growth. Production will not increase substantially due to decoupling of direct payments. Trade balance for majority of products will improve.
关键词：partial equilibrium econometric model;Slovak agricultural markets;EU accession;CAP