文章基本信息

标题：Modelling the wheat sector in South Africa
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作者：Meyer, Ferdinand H. ; Kirsten, Johann F.
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2005
卷号：36
期号：6
页码：225-237
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：In this study, the structure of the South African wheat market is analysed using economic theory and econometric modelling techniques. The model is used to make baseline projections regarding the supply and use of wheat in South Africa and to analyse the impacts of various policy alternatives on the wheat sector for the period 20042008. Results indicate that the area harvested in the summer as well as winter region will decrease over time. Domestic consumption will marginally increase over time, which will result in higher levels of imports. The ability of the model to simulate policy shocks is illustrated by means of simulating the impact of the elimination of the wheat import tariff on the wheat sector.