摘要:An exotic disease incursion management model was developed to estimate the regional economy effects of a potential karnal bunt incursion in south eastern Queensland. By developing an agent based spatial model that integrates the biophysical aspects of the disease incursion with the agricultural production system and the wider regional economy the model can be used to analyse the effectiveness of alternative management strategies for a range of different incursion scenarios. It is also possible to estimate the effectiveness and economic implications of education campaigns to improve the likelihood of detection by farmers in the field or at the silo.