文章基本信息

标题：AN EVALUATION OF ECONOMETRIC MODELS OF U.S. FARMLAND PRICES
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作者：Pope, Rulon D. ; Kramer, Randall A. ; Green, Richard D. 等
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：1979
页码：107-120
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：Previously published empirical models of U.S. farmland prices are reviewed and reestimated including recent data. It is apparent that structural changes have occurred. A simple single equation econometric model with less economic structure appears to forecast better than a simultaneous equation model. Finally, Box-Jenkins forecasts are roughly as good as those based upon a simultaneous equation econometric model, but somewhat inferior to the single equation model. The results suggest that further research may be needed to explain recent movements of farmland prices.