文章基本信息

标题：PERFORMANCE OF RISK-INCOME MODELS OUTSIDE THE ORIGINAL DATA SET
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作者：Atwood, Joseph A. ; Held, Larry J. ; Helmers, Glenn A. 等
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：1986
页码：113-123
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：Selected risk programming solutions (i.e., profit maximization, Target-MOTAD, and MOTAD) are tested in an economic environment outside the data set from which they were developed. Specifically, solutions are derived from either a longer 10-year (1965-74) or shorter 6-year estimation period (1969-74), and then, they are tested for consistent risk-income characteristics over a later 10-year period (1975-84). Risk solutions estimated from earlier periods perform well in the later test period in spite of different economic conditions between time periods. However, favorable performance may be related to the specific example used in this analysis. Further testing for other farm situations is needed before general conclusions can be reached.