文章基本信息

标题：A TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE U.S. DURUM WHEAT AND PASTA MARKETS
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作者：Babula, Ronald A. ; Rich, Karl M.
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2001
页码：1-19
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：A quarterly, partial-equilibrium vector-autoregression model of the U.S. durum wheat and pasta markets was estimated and simulated under three trade-barrier changes that are of potential relevance for the current round of WTO agricultural negotiations: a rise in the U.S. market-clearing durum wheat quantity from increased imports; a policy- or tariff- reduction-induced decline in U.S. durum wheat price; and a tariff-induced rise in U.S. pasta product prices. In response to each shock, an array of quarterly dynamic response characteristics are examined: response reaction times, direction and pattern of quarterly responses, response durations, response multipliers, and strength of durum/pasta market interrelationships.