文章基本信息

标题：Local Polynomial Kernel Forecasts and Management of Price Risks using Futures Markets
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作者：Kim, MinKyoung ; Leuthold, Raymond M. ; Garcia, Philip 等
期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
出版年度：2001
期号：SUPPL
出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
摘要：This study contributes to understanding price risk management through hedging strategies in a forecasting context. A relatively new forecasting method, nonparametric local polynomial kernel (LPK), is used and applied to the hog sector. The selective multiproduct hedge based on the LPK price and hedge ratio forecasts is, in general, found to be better than continuous hedge and alternative forecasting procedures in terms of reduction of variance of unhedged return. The findings indicate that combining hedging with forecasts, especially when using the LPK technique, can potentially improve price risk management.
关键词：forecasts; hog sector; selective hedge; nonparametric local polynomial kernel