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  • 标题:Epidemic progression on networks based on disease generation time
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Bahman Davoudi ; Flavia Moser ; Fred Brauer
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Biological Dynamics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1751-3758
  • 电子版ISSN:1751-3766
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:148-160
  • DOI:10.1080/17513758.2013.819127
  • 出版社:Taylor & Francis
  • 摘要:We investigate the time evolution of disease spread on a network and present an analytical framework using the concept of disease generation time. Assuming a susceptible–infected–recovered epidemic process, this network-based framework enables us to calculate in detail the number of links (edges) within the network that are capable of producing new infectious nodes (individuals), the number of links that are not transmitting the infection further (non-transmitting links), as well as the number of contacts that individuals have with their neighbours (also known as degree distribution) within each epidemiological class, for each generation period. Using several examples, we demonstrate very good agreement between our analytical calculations and the results of computer simulations.
  • 关键词:epidemiology; population dynamics
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