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  • 标题:Increasing optimism and demand uncertainty
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Julien Prat
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:12
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:By allowing the initial prior over market size to be a mixture of distributions, this paper extends the model of irreversible investment under uncertainty proposed by Rob (1991). We find that capacity expansion fuels investors' optimism. It is shown in the paper that the crash is always preceded by a boom when the initial prior is a mixture of exponential distributions.
  • 关键词:Learning Investment Uncertainty
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