文章基本信息

标题：Using Participatory Scenario Planning to Identify Ecosystem Services in Changing Landscapes
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作者：Rebecka Malinga ; Line J. Gordon ; Regina Lindborg 等
期刊名称：Ecology and Society
印刷版ISSN：1708-3087
电子版ISSN：1708-3087
出版年度：2013
卷号：18
期号：4
出版社：The Resilience Alliance
摘要：There is a growing interest in assessing ecosystem services to improve ecosystem management in landscapescontaining a mix of different ecosystems. While methodologies for assessing ecosystem services are constantly improving, onlylittle attention has been given to the identification of which ecosystem services to assess. Service selection is mostly based oncurrent state of the landscape although many landscapes are both inherently complex and rapidly changing. In this study weexamine whether scenario development, a tool for dealing with uncertainties and complexities of the future, gives importantinsights into the selection of ecosystem services in changing landscapes. Using an agricultural landscape in South Africa wecompared different sets of services selected for an assessment by four different groups: stakeholders making the scenarios,experts who have read the scenarios, experts who had not read the scenarios, and services derived from literature. We foundsignificant differences among the services selected by different groups, especially between the literature services and the othergroups. Cultural services were least common in literature and that list was also most dissimilar in terms of identity, ranking, andnumbers of services compared to the other three groups. The services selected by experts and the scenario stakeholders wererelatively similar indicating that knowledge of a study area gained through the scenario exercise is not very different from thatof experts actively working in the area. Although our results show limited value in using scenario development for improvedecosystem service selection per se, the scenario development process triggers important discussions with local and regionalstakeholders about key issues of today, helping to more correctly assess changes in the future
关键词：agriculture; complexity; ecosystem services; future; landscape; scenarios; social-ecological systems; South Africa;uncertainties