文章基本信息

标题：International Trade and Income in Malawi: A Co-integration and Causality Approach
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作者：Greenwell Collins Matchaya ; Pius Chilonda ; Sibusiso Nhelengethwa 等
期刊名称：International Journal of Economic Sciences and Applied Research
印刷版ISSN：1791-5120
电子版ISSN：1791-3373
出版年度：2013
卷号：6
期号：2
页码：125-147
出版社：Kavala Institute of Technology
摘要：This paper investigates causal relationships between exports, imports, and economic growth in Malawi over the period 1961-2010. These relationships are examined using the Johansen frameworks for co-integration whereas the Vector Error Correction (VECM) framework is further used to provide estimates for both short-run and long-run dynamics in the series under study. The empirical results, including the impulse responses support the export-led economic growth and export driven imports hypotheses in the long run, but they provide no evidence of any economic growth-driven exports. These results strongly support the role of international trade in Malawi's economic development and hence policies that seek to facilitate Malawi's trade within and outside the SADC regional would be worthwhile to pursue
关键词：exports; incomes; Malawi; causality; co-integration