文章基本信息

标题：The Impact of Population Ageing on the Labour Market: Evidence from Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) Model of Scotland (*)
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作者：Katerina Lisenkova ; Marcel Mérette ; Robert Wright 等
期刊名称：Discussion Papers / Business School, University of Strathclyde
出版年度：2012
卷号：2012
出版社：University of Strathclyde
摘要：This paper presents a dynamic Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) model of Scotland. The model is used to examine the impact of population ageing on the labour market. More specifically, it is used to evaluate the effects of labour force decline and labour force ageing on key macro-economic variables. The second effect is assumed to operate through age-specific productivity and labour force participation. In the analysis, particular attention is paid to how population ageing impinges on the government expenditure constraint. The basic structure of the model follows in the Auerbach and Kotlikoff tradition. However, the model takes into consideration directly age-specific mortality. This is analogous to "building in" a cohort-component population projection structure to the model, which allows more complex and more realistic demographic scenarios to be considered
关键词：CGE modelling; population ageing; Scotland