文章基本信息

标题：The changing role of the exchange rate in a globalised economy
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作者：Filippo di Mauro ; Rasmus Rüffer ; Irina Bunda 等
期刊名称：Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
印刷版ISSN：1830-3420
电子版ISSN：1830-3439
出版年度：2008
卷号：1
出版社：European Central Bank
摘要：In addition to its direct effects on the global trading and production structure, the ongoing process of globalisation may have important implications for the interaction of exchange rates and the overall economy. This paper presents evidence regarding possible changes in the role of exchange rates in a more globalised economy. First, it analyses the link between exchange rates and prices, showing that there is at most a moderate decline in exchange rate pass-through for the euro area. Next, it turns to the effect of exchange rate changes on trade fl ows. The fi ndings indicate that the responsiveness of euro area exports to exchange rate changes may have declined somewhat as a result of globalisation, refl ecting mainly shifts in the geographical and sectoral composition of trade fl ows. The paper also provides a fi rm-level analysis of the impact of exchange rate changes on corporate profi ts, which suggests that overall this relationship appears to be relatively stable over time, although there are important crosscountry differences. In addition, it studies the overall impact of exchange rates on GDP and the potential role of valuation effects as a transmission channel in the case of the euro area.
关键词：Globalisation; exchange rate; trade;exchange rate pass-through; valuation effects.