文章基本信息

标题：Standard Shocks in the OECD Interlink Model
本地全文：下载
作者：Thomas Dalsgaard ; Christophe André ; Pete Richardson 等
期刊名称：Economics Department Working Papers / OECD
印刷版ISSN：0259-4633
出版年度：2001
卷号：2001
DOI：10.1787/000706200171
出版社：Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
摘要：One of the OECD Economic Department’s key vehicles for analysing effects and international spillovers of macroeconomic policy as well as assessing risks to the global outlook is the macroeconometric model, INTERLINK. In the context of the Department’s regular projection exercises the model performs a variety of functions. These include 1) contributing to the construction and co-ordination of individual country projections; 2) the production of globally consistent trade projections; and 3) simulations to explore the short- to medium-term consequences of alternative economic conditions and policy assumptions. This paper briefly describes the main features of the current version of INTERLINK and presents the results of a number of standard macroeconomic shocks. These simulation results reflect the combination of unadjusted model properties and the specific stylised policy assumptions made. In the course of more routine policy analysis with the model at the OECD, these are augmented by ...
关键词：simulation; forecasting; macroeconometric model