文章基本信息

标题：A Small Global Forecasting Model
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作者：David Rae ; David Turner
期刊名称：Economics Department Working Papers / OECD
印刷版ISSN：0259-4633
出版年度：2001
卷号：2001
DOI：10.1787/628640803664
出版社：Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
摘要：This paper describes the OECD’s new small global forecasting model for the three main OECD economic regions: the United States, the euro area, and Japan. The key variables – which include output, inflation, the trade balance, and import prices – are driven by monetary and fiscal policy, exchange rates, and world demand. The projections from the model are used as a starting point to help animate the early stages of the OECD’s forecasting round. The model is essentially a demand-side model with a particular focus on the impact of global linkages and the transmission of influences between regions ...
关键词：forecasting; international; OECD; macroeconomic model