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  • 标题:Early Warning Indicators for Latin America
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jaime Tenjo ; Martha López
  • 期刊名称:Ensayos sobre Política Económica
  • 印刷版ISSN:0120-4483
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:28
  • 期号:63
  • 出版社:Banco de la Republica, Bogotà
  • 摘要:We explore the performance of a set of early warning indicators for a group of Latin American economies under the endogenous cycle perspective. For this group of countries, the paper confirms the results of previous work on industrialized countries, which indicate that a combination of asset prices and credit provides valuable information of probable future financial crises. However, we go a step further in the analysis of emerging economies and find that a combination of capital flows from abroad and credit is an even superior leading indicator of such events
  • 关键词:Financial (In) Stability;early warning indicators;financial accelerator
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