文章基本信息

标题：Risk Analysis for Short Term Projects (STP鈥檚) using Fuzzy AHP Method
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作者：Charu Saini ; Amrita Jyoti
期刊名称：International Journal of Advanced Research In Computer Science and Software Engineering
印刷版ISSN：2277-6451
电子版ISSN：2277-128X
出版年度：2013
卷号：3
期号：11
出版社：S.S. Mishra
摘要：Short Term Projects (STP's) are key revenue generators for medium scale industries but these short term projects are equally risky as these were developed in short time under low expertise and scare resources so it is always a chance that these STP's ca n fail. Hence there is a need of preassessment of risk for such projects. Today there are many algorithms that access the failure risk for such projects. A few are fuzzy association rule mining, fuzzy analytic network process (FANP), fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) etc. FAHP is both simple and robust at the same time. Dependence of this method on opinions of experts in the form of saaty's pair -wise comparison matrix makes it powerful over other methods. Integration with fuzzy theory incorporates the case of vagueness in expert's mind. In this study we are employing FAHP on risk assessment of STP's executed by a company, although not all of them were executed. Data is being prepared by the some experts who executed the projects
关键词：Risk analysis; STP's risk analysis model; Expert's preassessment matrices( saaty's matrices); Evaluation ;of projects risk; Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process; FMADM