文章基本信息

标题：Ex Ante Impact Assessment of Policies Affecting Land Use, Part B: Application of the Analytical Framework
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作者：Katharina Helming ; Katharina Diehl ; Tom Kuhlman 等
期刊名称：Ecology and Society
印刷版ISSN：1708-3087
电子版ISSN：1708-3087
出版年度：2011
卷号：16
期号：1
出版社：The Resilience Alliance
摘要：The use of science-based tools for impact assessment has increasingly gained focus inaddressing the complexity of interactions between environment, society, and economy. For integratedassessment of policies affecting land use, an analytical framework was developed. The aim of our workwas to apply the analytical framework for specific scenario cases and in combination with quantitative andqualitative application methods. The analytical framework was tested for two cases involving the ex anteimpact assessment of: (1) a European Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) financial reform scenarioemploying a modeling approach and combined with a comprehensive indicator analysis and valuation; and(2) a regional bioenergy policy scenario, employing a fully participatory approach. The results showed thatEuropean land use in general is less sensitive to changes in the Common Agricultural Policy, but in thecontext of regions there can be significant impacts on the functions of land use. In general, theimplementation of the analytical framework for impact assessment proved to be doable with both methods,i.e., with the quantitative modeling and with the qualitative participatory approach. A key advantage ofusing the system of linked quantitative models is that it makes possible the simultaneous consideration ofall relevant sectors of the economy without abstaining from a great level of detail for sectors of particularinterest. Other advantages lie in the incontestable character of the results. Based on neutral, existing datawith a fixed set of settings and regions, an absolute comparability and reproducibility throughout Europecan be maintained. Analyzing the pros and cons of both approaches showed that they could be usedcomplementarily rather than be seen as competing alternatives
关键词：analytical framework; discussion tools; DPSIR framework; ex ante impact assessment; land-;use change; model-based tools; participatory assessment tools; policy development; sustainability