文章基本信息

标题：Evaluation of Bayesian Networks in Participatory Water Resources Management, Upper Guadiana Basin, Spain
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作者：Pedro Zorrilla ; Gema Carmona ; África De la Hera 等
期刊名称：Ecology and Society
印刷版ISSN：1708-3087
电子版ISSN：1708-3087
出版年度：2010
卷号：15
期号：3
出版社：The Resilience Alliance
摘要：Stakeholder participation is becoming increasingly important in water resourcesmanagement. In participatory processes, stakeholders contribute by putting forward their own perspective,and they benefit by enhancing their understanding of the factors involved in decision making. A diversityof modeling tools can be used to facilitate participatory processes. Bayesian networks are well suited tothis task for a variety of reasons, including their ability to structure discussions and visual appeal. Thisresearch focuses on developing and testing a set of evaluation criteria for public participation. Theadvantages and limitations of these criteria are discussed in the light of a specific participatory modelinginitiative. Modeling work was conducted in the Upper Guadiana Basin in central Spain, where uncontrolledgroundwater extraction is responsible for wetland degradation and conflicts between farmers, waterauthorities, and environmentalists. Finding adequate solutions to the problem is urgent because theimplementation of the EU Water Framework Directive requires all aquatic ecosystems to be in a "goodecological state" within a relatively short time frame. Stakeholder evaluation highlights the potential ofBayesian networks to support public participation processes
关键词：Bayesian networks; decision support system; evaluation; groundwater management; Guadiana;Basin; participatory modeling; Spain; water management; water use conflicts