文章基本信息

标题：Anticipatory Learning for Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience
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作者：Petra Tschakert ; Kathleen Ann Dietrich
期刊名称：Ecology and Society
印刷版ISSN：1708-3087
电子版ISSN：1708-3087
出版年度：2010
卷号：15
期号：2
出版社：The Resilience Alliance
摘要：This paper is a methodological contribution to emerging debates on the role of learning,particularly forward-looking (anticipatory) learning, as a key element for adaptation and resilience in thecontext of climate change. First, we describe two major challenges: understanding adaptation as a processand recognizing the inadequacy of existing learning tools, with a specific focus on high poverty contextsand complex livelihood-vulnerability risks. Then, the article examines learning processes from a dynamicsystems perspective, comparing theoretical aspects and conceptual advances in resilience thinking andaction research/learning (AR/AL). Particular attention is paid to learning loops (cycles), critical reflection,spaces for learning, and power. Finally, we outline a methodological framework to facilitate iterativelearning processes and adaptive decision making in practice. We stress memory, monitoring of key driversof change, scenario planning, and measuring anticipatory capacity as crucial ingredients. Our aim is toidentify opportunities and obstacles for forward-looking learning processes at the intersection of climaticuncertainty and development challenges in Africa, with the overarching objective to enhance adaptationand resilient livelihood pathways, rather than learning by shock
关键词：Anticipatory capacity; action research/learning; climatic uncertainty; iterative learning;reflection; learning spaces; scenarios; development