文章基本信息

标题：WHAT IF (Sensitivity Analysis)
本地全文：下载
作者：IULIAN N. BUJOREANU
期刊名称：Journal of Defense Resources Management
印刷版ISSN：2068-9403
出版年度：2011
卷号：2
期号：1
页码：45-50
出版社：Regional Department of Defense Resources Management Studies
摘要：Sensitivity analysis represents such a well known and deeply analyzed subject that anyone to enter the field feels like not being able to add anything new. Still, there are so many facets to be taken into consideration.The paper introduces the reader to the various ways sensitivity analysis is implemented and the reasons for which it has to be implemented in most analyses in the decision making processes. Risk analysis is of outmost importance in dealing with resource allocation and is presented at the beginning of the paper as the initial cause to implement sensitivity analysis. Different views and approaches are added during the discussion about sensitivity analysis so that the reader develops an as thoroughly as possible opinion on the use and UTILITY of the sensitivity analysis. Finally, a round-up conclusion brings us to the question of the possibility of generating the future and analyzing it before it unfolds so that, when it happens it brings less uncertainty.
关键词：sensitivity analysis; risk analysis; decision making process; scenario planning