文章基本信息

标题：What Do Business Sentiments Signal: Growth Or Nothing?”
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作者：Asli Yuksel Mermod ; Ulkem Basdas
期刊名称：International Journal of Business and Management Studies
电子版ISSN：1309-8047
出版年度：2010
卷号：2
期号：2
出版社：Social Sciences Research Society
摘要：Business sentiment surveys are conducted to provide information on the economic agents’ perceptions of the current situation and future expectations, hence the economic growth. Therefore, this paper aims to test whether there is a long term relationship between the business sentiment index and growth in the selected countries over 1985-2009. Besides, the survey questions are decomposed according to their forward-looking and backward-looking characteristics in order to compute “current conditions” and “expectations” sub-indices. ARDL model results indicate that business sentiment indices have a long term relationship with the growth in most of the countries. Nevertheless, there is not a significant difference between “current conditions” and “expectations” sub-indices
关键词：Business tendency surveys; business sentiment; growth; ARDL