文章基本信息

标题：Regionalisation of Climate Change Impacts in Germany for the Usage in Spatial Planning
本地全文：下载
作者：Burghard C. Meyer ; Sven Rannow ; Stefan Greiving 等
期刊名称：GeoScape
电子版ISSN：1802-1115
出版年度：2009
卷号：4
期号：1
页码：34-43
出版社：Jan Evangelista Purkyne University
摘要：Climate change is expected to become one of the major drivers of landscape change in the decades and centuries to come. Understanding the impacts of climate change (e.g. increasing temperature, storm events, changes of intensity, variability and amount of rainfall) on ecosystems, landscapes and land uses is essential as basis for adaptation and mitigation strategies and decisions in politics and spatial planning. There is a major lack of knowledge especially about the indirect effects of climate change on the landscape e.g. on landscape functions and ecosystems services and about indicators usable to describe regional impacts (e.g. the effects on land use changes for the production of alternative energy resources). Spatial planning needs spatial explicit information about the impacts of climate change on a detailed scale level as basis for the development and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies. A method for an assessment of climate change impacts in Germany on a regional scale level has been developed. Aim is the description of relevant changes for the usage in spatial planning. Using the data from the hydrostatic regional climate model REMO assessments of the major regional impacts of climate change (e.g. the flood risks, soil erosion risk, risks of heat waves, risks of forest fires) has been conducted. By inclusion of socio-economic statistical data the results have been differentiated to regions suitable for regional planning (Regionalplanungsregionen) and to natural regions by GIS. A high spatial differentiation of impacts in Germany could be stated
关键词：Climate change is expected to become one of the major drivers of landscape change in the;decades and centuries to come. Understanding the impacts of climate change (e.g. increasing;temperature; storm events; changes of intensity; variability and amount of rainfall) on ecosystems;landscapes and land uses is essential as basis for adaptation and mitigation strategies and decisions;in politics and spatial planning. There is a major lack of knowledge especially about the indirect;effects of climate change on the landscape e.g. on landscape functions and ecosystems services and;about indicators usable to describe regional impacts (e.g. the effects on land use changes for the;production of alternative energy resources).;Spatial planning needs spatial explicit information about the impacts of climate change on a;detailed scale level as basis for the development and implementation of mitigation and adaptation;strategies. A method for an assessment of climate change impacts in Germany on a regional scale;level has been developed. Aim is the description of relevant changes for the usage in spatial;planning. Using the data from the hydrostatic regional climate model REMO assessments of the;major regional impacts of climate change (e.g. the flood risks; soil erosion risk; risks of heat waves;risks of forest fires) has been conducted. By inclusion of socio-economic statistical data the results;have been differentiated to regions suitable for regional planning (Regionalplanungsregionen) and to;natural regions by GIS. A high spatial differentiation of impacts in Germany could be stated