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  • 标题:The Status Quo Bias of Bond Market Analysts
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Zulia Gubaydullina ; Oliver Hein ; Markus Spiwoks
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Applied Finance and Banking
  • 印刷版ISSN:1792-6580
  • 电子版ISSN:1792-6599
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:1
  • 期号:1
  • 出版社:Scienpress Ltd
  • 摘要:

    Status quo bias is a systematic cognitive error which makes it difficult for individuals to make decisions independently of the currently dominant situation. This study pursues the question of whether bond market analysts are affected by status quo bias. We evaluated interest rate forecast series from twelve industrial nations. This revealed that, on average, forecasts were much too close to the status quo – the current interest rate at the time when the forecast was made. With the aid of various analytical procedures it can be shown that the actual extent of interest rate changes is systematically and significantly underestimated.

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