文章基本信息

标题：The Under-Reporting of Property Crime: A Microeconometric Analysis
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作者：Ziggy MacDonald
期刊名称：Discussion Papers / University of Leicester, Department of Economics
出版年度：1998
出版社：Leicester
摘要：In this paper we use data from the 1994 and 1996 British Crime Surveys (BCS) to examine the in‡uence of socio-economic factors on the reporting of crime. Through probit estimation, we …nd that the probability of a burglary being reported is signi…cantly reduced if the individual is currently unemployed or has been engaged in illicit activity over the past year. We also …nd that, as anticipated, the reporting likelihood is much increased if the incident involves a positively valued loss. Using decomposition techniques, we also show that this result is not driven by di¤erences in mean sample characteristics. Our results suggest that the di¤erence between the recorded crime rate and the true crime rate is not constant through the economic cycle. This may have implications for models of crime and economic activity that make use of recorded crime …gures.
关键词：Reported crime; microeconometric model; decomposition