文章基本信息

标题：Principal Possibility of the Successful Nowcast and Short-Term Forecast in the Middle Atmosphere Based on the Observed UV Irradiance
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作者：T. Egorova ; E. Rozanov ; A. V. Shapiro 等
期刊名称：International Journal of Geophysics
印刷版ISSN：1687-885X
电子版ISSN：1687-8868
出版年度：2012
卷号：2012
DOI：10.1155/2012/298431
出版社：Hindawi Publishing Corporation
摘要：We have applied chemistry-climate model (CCM) SOCOL to simulate the distribution of the temperature and gas species in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere. As an input for the simulation, we employ daily spectral solar UV irradiance measured by SUSIM instrument onboard UARS satellite in January 1992. We have carried out an ensemble of nine 1-month long simulations using slightly different initial states of the atmosphere. We have compared the obtained time evolution of the simulated species and temperature with available satellite measurements. The obtained results allowed us to define the areas where the nowcast and short-term forecast of the atmospheric species with CCM SOCOL could be successful.