文章基本信息

标题：The Economic Effects of Croatia's Accession to the EU
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作者：Lejour, Arjan ; Mervar, Andrea ; Verweij, Gerard 等
期刊名称：Working Papers of The Institute of Economics, Zagreb
印刷版ISSN：1846-4238
电子版ISSN：1847-7844
出版年度：2007
期号：5
页码：5-32
出版社：Ekonomski institut, Zagreb
摘要：We explore the economic implications of Croatia's possible accession to the European Union. We focus on two main changes associated with the EU-membership: accession to the internal European Market and institutional reforms in Croatia triggered by the EUmembership. GDP per capita in Croatia is estimated to rise by about 1.1 percent as a result of accession to the internal market. In particular the textile and wearing apparel sectors expand. If Croatia succeeds in reforming its domestic institutions in response to the EU-membership, income levels in Croatia could increase even more. In particular, tentative estimates suggest that GDP per capita in Croatia could even rise by additional 8 percent. Overall, the macroeconomic implications for the existing EU countries are negligible.
关键词：regional economic integration; general equilibrium model; gravity equations; institutional reform; Croatia