文章基本信息

标题：Budget Deficit, Money Supply and Inflation: The Case of Pakistan
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作者：Mukhtar, Tahir ; Zakaria, Muhammad
期刊名称：Economic Trends and Economic Policy
印刷版ISSN：1330-187X
出版年度：2010
卷号：20
期号：122
页码：53-67
出版社：The Institute of Economics and Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Croatia
摘要：Conventional notions suggest that persistently high budget deficits give rise to inflation, which monetary policy on its own is powerless to prevent. However, empirical evidence does not provide convincing support for such a hypothesis. This paper reexamines the issue in the case of Pakistan using Johansen cointegration analysis. The empirical results suggest that in the long-run inflation is not related to budget deficit but only to supply of money, and supply of money has no causal connection with budget deficit. Hence, the findings imply that the hard government budget constraint does not find empirical support for Pakistan.
关键词：budget deficit; inflation; money supply; cointegration; Pakistan