文章基本信息

标题：PREDICTABILITY OF FINANCIAL CRISES-TESTING K R L MODEL IN THECASE OF TURKEY
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作者：Zeynep Karacor ; Korhan Gokmenoglu
期刊名称：Analele Universităţii Constantin Brâncuşi din Târgu Jiu : Seria Economie
印刷版ISSN：1844-7007
出版年度：2012
卷号：02
出版社：Academica Brâncuşi
摘要：The aim of this study is to test predictability of 2007 Global Economic Crisis which hit Turkey by the help of macroeconomic data of Turkey. K.R.L. model is used to test the predictability. By the method of analyzing various leading early warning indicators, the success of the model in forecasting the crises is surveyed. The findings do not support K.R.L. models. Possible reasons for this are stated at the article.
关键词：Financial Crises; Leading Indicators; Signal Approach; K.R.L. Model瞛餢