文章基本信息

标题：Modeling Transmission of Tuberculosis with MDR and Undetected Cases
本地全文：下载
作者：Yongqi Liu ; Zhendong Sun ; Guiquan Sun 等
期刊名称：Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
印刷版ISSN：1026-0226
电子版ISSN：1607-887X
出版年度：2011
卷号：2011
DOI：10.1155/2011/296905
出版社：Hindawi Publishing Corporation
摘要：This paper presents a novel mathematical model with multidrug-resistant (MDR) and undetected TB cases. The theoretical analysis indicates that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if 𝑅0<1; otherwise, the system may exist a locally asymptotically stable endemic equilibrium. The model is also used to simulate and predict TB epidemic in Guangdong. The results imply that our model is in agreement with actual data and the undetected rate plays vital role in the TB trend. Our model also implies that TB cannot be eradicated from population if it continues to implement current TB control strategies.