文章基本信息

标题：Reversibility in an Earth System model in response to CO2 concentration changes
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作者：O Boucher ; P R Halloran ; E J Burke 等
期刊名称：Environmental Research Letters
印刷版ISSN：1748-9326
电子版ISSN：1748-9326
出版年度：2012
卷号：7
期号：2
页码：024013-024013
DOI：10.1088/1748-9326/7/2/024013
语种：English
出版社：IOP Publishing Ltd
摘要：We use the HadGEM2-ES Earth System model to examine the degree of reversibility of a wide range of components of the Earth System under idealized climate change scenarios where the atmospheric CO₂ concentration is gradually increased to four times the pre-industrial level and then reduced at a similar rate from several points along this trajectory. While some modelled quantities respond almost immediately to the atmospheric CO₂ concentrations, others exhibit a time lag relative to the change in CO₂. Most quantities also exhibit a lag relative to the global-mean surface temperature change, which can be described as a hysteresis behaviour. The most surprising responses are from low-level clouds and ocean stratification in the Southern Ocean, which both exhibit hysteresis on timescales longer than expected. We see no evidence of critical thresholds in these simulations, although some of the hysteresis phenomena become more apparent above 2 × CO₂ or 3 × CO₂. Our findings have implications for the parametrization of climate impacts in integrated assessment and simple climate models and for future climate studies of geoengineering scenarios.