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  • 标题:Weak-Form Market Efficiency: Evidence from the Brazilian Stock Market
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Chien-Ping Chen ; Massoud Metghalchi
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Economics and Finance
  • 印刷版ISSN:1916-971X
  • 电子版ISSN:1916-9728
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:4
  • 期号:7
  • 页码:22
  • DOI:10.5539/ijef.v4n7p22
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:

    We investigate the predictive power of various trading rules with different combinations of the most popular indicators in technical analysis for the Brazilian stock index (BOVESPA) over the period of 5/1/1996 to 3/1/2011, or 14.83 years. The empirical results show that all the buy-sell differences under single, double and triple-indicator combinations are insignificant in t-test; that is, technical trading models cannot beat the buy and hold strategy. Although few multiple-indicator trading models show profitability, their predictive power is eliminated after considering the possible interest earning from money market in the days out of stock market. The results support strongly the weak form of market efficiency for the Brazilian stock market.

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