文章基本信息

标题：FORECASTING ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION BY USING HOLT-WINTERS AND SEASONAL REGRESSION MODELS
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作者：Vinko Lepojević ; Marija Anđelković-Pešić Faculty of Economics ; University of Niš 等
期刊名称：Facta Universitatis. Series Economics and Organization
印刷版ISSN：0354-4699
电子版ISSN：0354-4699
出版年度：2011
卷号：8
期号：4
出版社：University of Nis
摘要：Electricity is a key energy source in each country and an important condition for economic development. Reliable forecast of energy consumption represents a starting point in policy development and improvement of production and distribution facilities. The paper predicts the electricity consumption in the area covered by Elektroistok Ltd Nis during the period November 2011 - October 2012. For the purposes of these forecasts, Holt-Winters method and appropriate seasonal regression models were used.
关键词：Time series, Holt-Winters method, seasonal regression models, electricity consummation